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Why “Lower Risk” Is Often Misunderstood in a Waxing Business

And why the wrong assumption causes more regret than failure


Many first-time owners choose a business model because it feels “lower risk.”

That feeling is understandable — but it’s often based on a misunderstanding of what risk actually is.

In reality, franchising and independent ownership redistribute risk, rather than eliminate it.


Risk isn’t one thing

Risk is not just financial. It also includes:

  • Commitment risk
  • Flexibility risk
  • Emotional and mental strain
  • Exit constraints

When people label one model as “safer,” they’re usually focusing on one dimension and ignoring the rest.


How franchising shifts risk

Franchising often reduces uncertainty early. Systems exist, processes are defined, and expectations are clearer.

That shifts risk toward:

  • Fixed commitments
  • Limited ability to adjust
  • Dependence on external decisions
  • Longer unwind timelines

The risk becomes more predictable — but also harder to escape.


How independent ownership shifts risk

Independent ownership introduces more variability upfront. There’s less structure and more guesswork early on.

That shifts risk toward:

  • Decision accuracy
  • Timing
  • Personal execution
  • Emotional resilience

The risk is more volatile — but often easier to reduce over time with experience.


Why misunderstanding risk leads to regret

Owners rarely regret working hard.

They regret:

  • Feeling trapped
  • Losing optionality
  • Discovering too late that the model didn’t fit

Those regrets usually stem from misunderstanding where risk would show up day to day.


A better way to think about risk

Instead of asking which option is “lower risk,” ask:

  • Where does the risk live?
  • How reversible are my decisions?
  • How much optionality do I want later?

Those questions lead to clearer choices.


Final thought

Risk doesn’t disappear. It moves.

Choosing a business model is about choosing which risks you’re willing to carry.


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